Published June 22, 2026

What Home Price Trends Mean for Your Next Move

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Written by Jeff Ell

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If you spend enough time online, you'd probably think home prices are either crashing right now or about to.

Scroll through social media, watch a few videos, or read a handful of headlines, and it can start to feel like a major housing downturn is right around the corner.

But here's the problem with headlines: they often focus on the most dramatic stories, not the most common ones.

And when you look at the actual data, a different picture emerges.

Home Prices Are Still Rising in Most Markets

According to Realtor.com, home prices are still increasing in 71% of housing markets across the country.

Think about that for a moment.

That means nearly three out of every four markets are continuing to see home values move higher. While some areas are experiencing modest price declines, they're the exception—not the rule.

Yet if you're only getting your housing information from attention-grabbing headlines, you'd never know it.

The reality is that real estate is local. What's happening in one city, state, or neighborhood doesn't automatically represent what's happening everywhere else.

Why the Confusion?

Housing markets across the country aren't moving in lockstep.

Some markets that saw explosive growth during the pandemic are going through a period of adjustment. In those areas, prices may soften slightly as inventory increases and buyer demand normalizes.

At the same time, many other markets continue to benefit from:

  • Strong buyer demand
  • Limited housing inventory
  • Population growth
  • Stable local economies

Those factors continue to put upward pressure on home prices in many parts of the country.

That's why broad statements like "home prices are crashing" rarely tell the full story.

National Headlines Don't Help You Make Local Decisions

One of the biggest mistakes buyers and sellers make is basing major real estate decisions on national news alone.

The housing market in Tucson is different from Phoenix.

Phoenix is different from Denver.

Denver is different from Miami.

And even within the same city, different neighborhoods can perform very differently.

That's why it's important to understand what's happening in your specific market—not just what a headline says is happening somewhere else.

What This Means for Buyers

Some buyers are waiting because they believe prices will fall significantly.

But if prices continue rising in the majority of markets, waiting may not create the opportunity they're hoping for.

Could some markets see price corrections? Absolutely.

Could certain neighborhoods experience slower appreciation? Of course.

But betting on a nationwide housing crash isn't what current market data supports.

For many buyers, the bigger question isn't whether prices will fall. It's whether waiting could mean paying more later if values continue to rise.

What This Means for Sellers

For sellers, this data reinforces something important: buyers are still active, and home values remain strong in most markets.

That doesn't mean every home will sell instantly or at any price. Today's buyers are more selective than they were a few years ago.

Proper pricing, preparation, and marketing still matter.

But despite what some headlines suggest, most homeowners aren't seeing their equity disappear. In many markets, values continue to trend upward.

The Bottom Line

The internet loves dramatic headlines because they get attention.

The data often tells a more complete story.

While some housing markets are seeing modest price declines, home prices are still rising in 71% of markets nationwide. That's why it's important to look beyond the headlines and focus on what's actually happening in your local market.

 

 

-Ell Group

 ELL Group Real Estate | Ambrell Realty | 520-777-6787 | Hello@ELLTucson.com

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